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Minimum chi-square estimation : ウィキペディア英語版
Minimum chi-square estimation
In statistics, minimum chi-square estimation is a method of estimation of unobserved quantities based on observed data.
In certain chi-square tests, one rejects a null hypothesis about a population distribution if a specified test statistic is too large, when that statistic would have approximately a chi-square distribution if the null hypothesis is true. In minimum chi-square estimation, one finds the values of parameters that make that test statistic as small as possible.
Among the consequences of its use is that the test statistic actually does have approximately a chi-square distribution when the sample size is large. Generally, one reduces by 1 the number of degrees of freedom for each parameter estimated by this method.
== Illustration via an example ==

Suppose a certain random variable takes values in the set of non-negative integers 1, 2, 3, . . . . A simple random sample of size 20 is taken, yielding the following data set. It is desired to test the null hypothesis that the population from which this sample was taken follows a Poisson distribution.
:
\begin
\text & \text \\
\hline
0 & 1 \\
1 & 2 \\
2 & 4 \\
3 & 5 \\
4 & 3 \\
5 & 3 \\
6 & 1 \\
7 & 0 \\
8 & 1 \\
>8 & 0
\end

The maximum likelihood estimate of the population average is 3.3. One could apply Pearson's chi-square test of whether the population distribution is a Poisson distribution with expected value 3.3. However, the null hypothesis did not specify that it was that particular Poisson distribution, but only that it is some Poisson distribution, and the number 3.3 came from the data, not from the null hypothesis. A rule of thumb says that when a parameter is estimated, one reduces the number of degrees of freedom by 1, in this case from 9 (since there are 10 cells) to 8. One might hope that the resulting test statistic would have approximately a chi-square distribution when the null hypothesis is true. However, that is not in general the case when maximum-likelihood estimation is used. It is however true asymptotically when minimum chi-square estimation is used.

抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア(Wikipedia)
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